Gfl Environmental Holdings Stock Performance

GFL Stock  CAD 60.28  0.30  0.50%   
The company retains a Market Volatility (i.e., Beta) of 0.56, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Gfl Environmental's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Gfl Environmental is expected to be smaller as well. At this point, Gfl Environmental has a negative expected return of -0.0485%. Please make sure to check out Gfl Environmental's treynor ratio, accumulation distribution, period momentum indicator, as well as the relationship between the potential upside and day median price , to decide if Gfl Environmental performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.

Risk-Adjusted Performance

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Over the last 90 days Gfl Environmental Holdings has generated negative risk-adjusted returns adding no value to investors with long positions. In spite of very healthy essential indicators, Gfl Environmental is not utilizing all of its potentials. The current stock price disarray, may contribute to short-term losses for the investors. ...more
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0014
Payout Ratio
0.0089
Forward Dividend Rate
0.08
Dividend Date
2026-01-30
Ex Dividend Date
2026-01-13
1
Harbor Capital Advisors Inc. Trims Holdings in GFL Environmental Inc. GFL - MarketBeat
12/29/2025
2
GFL Environmental Inc. Announces Proposed Private Offering of Senior Notes - PR Newswire
01/13/2026
3
GFL Environmental Completes US1 Billion 5.500 percent Senior Notes Offering Due 2034 - TipRanks
01/16/2026
4
Analysts Offer Insights on Industrial Goods Companies Compass Diversified Holdings , GFL Environmental and AeroVironment - The Globe and Mail
01/22/2026
5
Analysts Are Bullish on Top Industrial Goods Stocks Tetra Tech , Waste Management - The Globe and Mail
01/30/2026
Begin Period Cash Flow133.8 M
Total Cashflows From Investing Activities3.7 B
  

Gfl Environmental Relative Risk vs. Return Landscape

If you would invest  6,254  in Gfl Environmental Holdings on November 30, 2025 and sell it today you would lose (226.00) from holding Gfl Environmental Holdings or give up 3.61% of portfolio value over 90 days. Gfl Environmental Holdings is producing return of less than zero assuming 1.5482% volatility of returns over the 90 days investment horizon. Simply put, 13% of all stocks have less volatile historical return distribution than Gfl Environmental, and 99% of all equity instruments are likely to generate higher returns than the company over the next 90 trading days.
  Expected Return   
       Risk  
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gfl Environmental is expected to under-perform the market. In addition to that, the company is 2.04 times more volatile than its market benchmark. It trades about -0.03 of its total potential returns per unit of risk. The Dow Jones Industrial is currently generating roughly 0.08 per unit of volatility.

Gfl Environmental Target Price Odds to finish over Current Price

The tendency of Gfl Stock price to converge on an average value over time is a known aspect in finance that investors have used since the beginning of the stock market for forecasting. However, many studies suggest that some traded equity instruments are consistently mispriced before traders' demand and supply correct the spread. One possible conclusion to this anomaly is that these stocks have additional risk, for which investors demand compensation in the form of extra returns.
Current PriceHorizonTarget PriceOdds to move above the current price in 90 days
 60.28 90 days 60.28 
about 41.01
Based on a normal probability distribution, the odds of Gfl Environmental to move above the current price in 90 days from now is about 41.01 (This Gfl Environmental Holdings probability density function shows the probability of Gfl Stock to fall within a particular range of prices over 90 days) .
Assuming the 90 days trading horizon Gfl Environmental has a beta of 0.56. This usually indicates as returns on the market go up, Gfl Environmental average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding Gfl Environmental Holdings will be expected to be much smaller as well. Additionally Gfl Environmental Holdings has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the Dow Jones Industrial.
   Gfl Environmental Price Density   
       Price  

Predictive Modules for Gfl Environmental

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Gfl Environmental. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
58.7260.2761.82
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
58.3259.8761.42
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
59.8661.4062.95
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.030.100.29
Details

Gfl Environmental Risk Indicators

For the most part, the last 10-20 years have been a very volatile time for the stock market. Gfl Environmental is not an exception. The market had few large corrections towards the Gfl Environmental's value, including both sudden drops in prices as well as massive rallies. These swings have made and broken many portfolios. An investor can limit the violent swings in their portfolio by implementing a hedging strategy designed to limit downside losses. If you hold Gfl Environmental Holdings, one way to have your portfolio be protected is to always look up for changing volatility and market elasticity of Gfl Environmental within the framework of very fundamental risk indicators.
α
Alpha over Dow Jones
-0.13
β
Beta against Dow Jones0.56
σ
Overall volatility
1.76
Ir
Information ratio -0.11

Gfl Environmental Alerts and Suggestions

In today's market, stock alerts give investors the competitive edge they need to time the market and increase returns. Checking the ongoing alerts of Gfl Environmental for significant developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Suggestions and notifications for Gfl Environmental can help investors quickly react to important events or material changes in technical or fundamental conditions and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gfl Environmental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gfl Environmental Holdings has accumulated 8.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.5, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Gfl Environmental has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gfl Environmental until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gfl Environmental's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gfl Environmental sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gfl to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gfl Environmental's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 97.0% of Gfl Environmental shares are owned by institutional investors

Gfl Environmental Price Density Drivers

Market volatility will typically increase when nervous long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the market lower. The future price of Gfl Stock often depends not only on the future outlook of the current and potential Gfl Environmental's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gfl Environmental's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding378.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments85.6 M

Gfl Environmental Fundamentals Growth

Gfl Stock prices reflect investors' perceptions of the future prospects and financial health of Gfl Environmental, and Gfl Environmental fundamentals are critical determinants of its market performance. Overall, investors pay close attention to revenue and earnings growth, profit margins, and debt levels. These fundamentals can have a significant impact on Gfl Stock performance.

About Gfl Environmental Performance

By examining Gfl Environmental's fundamental ratios, stakeholders can obtain critical insights into Gfl Environmental's financial health, operational efficiency, and overall profitability. These insights assist in making well-informed investment and management decisions. For example, a high Return on Assets and Return on Equity would indicate that Gfl Environmental is effectively utilizing its assets and equity to generate significant profits, enhancing its appeal to investors. On the other hand, low ROA and ROE values could reveal issues in asset and equity management, highlighting the need for operational improvements.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Days Of Inventory On Hand 6.14  7.06 
Return On Tangible Assets 0.36  0.38 
Return On Capital Employed 0.02  0.02 
Return On Assets 0.20  0.21 
Return On Equity 0.53  0.55 

Things to note about Gfl Environmental performance evaluation

Checking the ongoing alerts about Gfl Environmental for important developments is a great way to find new opportunities for your next move. Stock alerts and notifications screener for Gfl Environmental help investors to be notified of important events, changes in technical or fundamental conditions, and significant headlines that can affect investment decisions.
Gfl Environmental generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
Gfl Environmental Holdings has accumulated 8.38 B in total debt with debt to equity ratio (D/E) of 1.5, which is about average as compared to similar companies. Gfl Environmental has a current ratio of 0.62, indicating that it has a negative working capital and may not be able to pay financial obligations in time and when they become due. Debt can assist Gfl Environmental until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Gfl Environmental's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Gfl Environmental sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Gfl to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Gfl Environmental's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 97.0% of Gfl Environmental shares are owned by institutional investors
Evaluating Gfl Environmental's performance can involve analyzing a variety of financial metrics and factors. Some of the key considerations to evaluate Gfl Environmental's stock performance include:
  • Analyzing Gfl Environmental's financial statements, including its income statement, balance sheet, and cash flow statement, helps in understanding its overall financial health and growth potential.
  • Getting a closer look at valuation ratios like price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio, price-to-sales (P/S) ratio, and price-to-book (P/B) ratio help in understanding whether Gfl Environmental's stock is overvalued or undervalued compared to its peers.
  • Examining Gfl Environmental's industry or sector and how it is performing can give you an idea of its growth potential and how it is positioned relative to its competitors.
  • Evaluating Gfl Environmental's management team can have a significant impact on its success or failure. Reviewing the track record and experience of Gfl Environmental's management team can help you assess the Company's leadership.
  • Pay attention to analyst opinions and ratings of Gfl Environmental's stock. These opinions can provide insight into Gfl Environmental's potential for growth and whether the stock is currently undervalued or overvalued.
It's essential to remember that evaluating Gfl Environmental's stock performance is not an exact science, and many factors can impact Gfl Environmental's stock market price. Therefore, it's also important to diversify your portfolio and not rely solely on one company or stock for your investments.
When determining whether Gfl Environmental is a strong investment it is important to analyze Gfl Environmental's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Gfl Environmental's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Gfl Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Risk vs Return Analysis to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Gfl Environmental Holdings. Also, note that the market value of any company could be closely tied with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in inflation.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Gfl Environmental's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gfl Environmental is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Meanwhile, Gfl Environmental's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.